Tracing the cause backwards
In chapter 15 of the Epstein book, I liked the section regarding “Tracing the cause backwards”. I found it easy to ready and very entertaining with the illustrations. As described in the book, you only trace back to the first step. If you go further back it “it becomes too hard to fill in the normal conditions”. If you go too far back it makes it unobvious to what actually caused something.
Example: Not studying cause Jane to fail her test.
Jane didn’t study since she was tired. Being tried caused Jane to fail her test.
Jane was tired because she worked all day. Work caused Jane to fail her test.
Jane worked all day because she needed to pay her bills. Bills caused Jane to fail her test.
Jane had to pay her bills since she is she has responsibilities. Responsibilities caused Jane to fail her test.
With this example we could go on forever. Each different cause created the same effect, so it is best to stop at the first step.
